Knicks vs. Raptors prediction, odds, pick – 12/9/2024

Game Overview

The New York Knicks and Toronto Raptors are set to face off on December 9, 2024, in a crucial Atlantic Division matchup. The Knicks, currently 12-9, will host the Raptors, who sit at 9-13, at Madison Square Garden with a 7:30 PM ET tip-off.

The New York Knicks.

The Knicks enter the game as four-point favorites despite dealing with key injuries. Jalen Brunson, their leading scorer (24.8 PPG) and playmaker, is questionable due to an ankle sprain, and Immanuel Quickley is listed with knee inflammation. Mitchell Robinson’s absence also weakens New York’s dominance in rebounding, a key strength this season. However, the Knicks remain a formidable team at home, though their 4-4-1 against the spread (ATS) record at Madison Square Garden leaves some questions.

The Raptors are in a slump but showed promise against the Knicks in their last meeting. Despite a poor 18.8% three-point shooting performance in that game, Toronto out-rebounded New York and displayed solid defense against mid-range shots. Pascal Siakam, their key offensive threat, will need to capitalize on New York’s injury woes to give Toronto an edge. The Raptors are also banking on improved shooting and limiting turnovers to exploit the Knicks’ three-point defensive lapses.

Odds and Key Factors

The over/under for the game is set at 221 points. Toronto’s defense against mid-range jumpers (6th best in the league) could stifle the Knicks’ offense, especially if Brunson and Quickley are limited. On the flip side, Toronto must address their inconsistency from beyond the arc to keep pace with New York’s scoring.

Prediction

Given the Knicks’ injury concerns and the Raptors’ potential for a shooting bounce-back, this game could be closer than anticipated. While New York has home-court advantage, Toronto’s recent performance against the Knicks suggests they can cover the +4 spread. Expect a competitive game, with the Raptors positioned to challenge New York’s defense and rebounding without Robinson.

Pick: Raptors +4.

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